"The crash of the Polish president's plane is a national tragedy for Poland." On the afternoon of April 10, Beijing time, the Tu-154 aircraft carrying the Polish president and the central bank governor crashed over Russian airspace. The Russian side confirmed that all 132 people on board were killed. Kong Tianping, Director of the Institute of East European Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, stated that this aircraft was developed by the former Soviet Union and had been discontinued in 2006. It cannot be ruled out that the crash was caused by a malfunction of the aircraft itself.
Last year, Polish Prime Minister Miller also encountered an accident while flying on this same dedicated aircraft.
Kong Tianping introduced that in 2003, when Polish Prime Minister Miller flew on a Soviet-made dedicated aircraft (it is uncertain whether it was also a Tu-154), there was also an accident, but fortunately, he was unharmed. However, up to now, Soviet-made aircraft remain the main dedicated aircraft for the Polish elite. Although Polish President Lech Kaczynski was attending the 70th anniversary commemoration of the Katyn massacre, it inevitably made people wonder if there were any frictions between Russia and Poland. However, judging from Putin's leading role in forming an investigation team, this air crash will not affect diplomatic relations between the two countries. There are no direct clues regarding whether it was a terrorist attack.
The possibility of political and economic instability in Poland due to the death of the president is small.
Regarding whether the death of the president would cause political and economic instability in Poland, Kong Tianping believed that such a possibility almost does not exist. He said that Poland is a country with a sound democratic legal system, and its political situation is very stable. If the president is unable to perform his duties, the constitution has a clear procedure for the succession of the successor.
The greatest tragedy is the loss of so many Polish elite officials.
However, he emphasized at the same time that the passengers on the special plane should all be elite officials of Poland. If there is any impact on the country, then the deaths of so many elites would be the greatest tragedy for Poland.
According to available data, Poland passed a new constitution through a national referendum in May 1997. The new constitution established Poland's "separation of powers" political system and an economic system mainly based on social market economy. The Sejm and the Senate have legislative power, the president and the government have executive power, and the courts and tribunals exercise judicial power. The Polish armed forces maintain neutrality in national political affairs.
Impact on Poland's economy will not be significant.
Also among those who died in the plane crash was the governor of the Polish central bank. Would this have an impact on the economy? Kong Tianping stated that Poland's economy has developed rapidly in recent years, especially its industry, which is particularly developed. Mining is mainly focused on coal and lignite, with coal reserves ranking among the top in Europe. Especially since joining the EU in May 2004, Poland's economy has surged under the support of the EU. Even in 2009, when the global financial crisis affected all EU member states and their economies declined, Poland became the only country to achieve positive economic growth. Therefore, this personal accident will not have a significant impact on the overall economic situation of the country. (Shinian)