1. First, it is necessary to judge the overall market. Generally speaking, warrants and the overall market are like a seesaw; the short-term trend of the overall market and warrants are divergent.
2. As a super-short-term speculative variety, the time cycle for paying attention to warrants is 60 minutes, 30 minutes, and 15 minutes.
3. In terms of the moving average system, the parameters of the 30-minute moving average can be set as 6, 18, 34, 55, 72, and 89 respectively, and then speculate according to the operation rules of the moving average.
4. On the time-sharing cycle, you can pay attention to time cycles such as 13, 2, Zhuhai, 34, 41, and 55, especially the resonance of time cycles.
5. Pay attention to bottom divergence and top divergence, look at the divergence of 60 minutes, 30 minutes, and 15 minutes. The cycle resonance and divergence should be combined.
6. The trend of warrants is relatively critical, especially the trend of the time-sharing chart, the trend of 5 minutes, and the trend of 15 minutes.
7. The relationship between volume and price should be particularly noted:
1. It is also quite crucial whether the rise and fall of warrants are synchronized with the price. If the price rises and the volume increases, you can continue to pay attention to it. If the price rises but the volume decreases, be aware that there may be a pullback; after reaching a new high, there must be trading volume cooperation, and warrants cannot attack without increasing volume.
2. Whether there was a large historical trapped position in the previous period is also an important basis for intervention.
3. Continuous accumulation or orderly interval attacks are signs of active upward movements. Insufficient volume or occasional appearances can only result in sideways or downward movements; after continuous shrinkage, sudden increase in volume should be paid attention to.
8. Pay attention to the language of the market:
1. Wait quietly for the counterattack pattern to appear during the decline. Besides looking at support levels, moving average systems, and technical indicators, you also need to see if there are any signs of large orders swallowing up. When the sell orders at the second, third, or even fourth level decrease significantly during huge volume transactions and the price keeps jumping, it means that there are already large orders swallowing up in the market, and at this point, it is often not far from the bottom. Conversely, it indicates the sign of the top or the decline in progress. If the price continues to fall without resistance, observe while waiting for the market to stabilize, and take action when unusual activities occur.
2. Consider buying and selling possibilities based on the average line of the daily time-sharing chart. If the average line oscillates upwards, and there is obvious support at the average line on the day, you can decisively enter when it rebounds again after a pullback. Additionally, buy when breaking through the average line, sell when consolidating or pulling back to the average line, and buy again when breaking through again.
3. High and low points tend to appear between 9:30 AM and 10:00 AM and between 2:30 PM and 3:00 PM.
4. If the day's trend closes with a positive candlestick, the possibility of a gap-up opening in the next trading session is higher.
Warrant operations require quick eyes and hands, a clear mind, and here I have collected some skillful articles, hoping they will be helpful to stock friends. When buying, use the time-sharing chart. Buy after the formation of V-shaped bottom, W-shaped bottom, or U-shaped bottom (minute K-line or 5-minute K-line); buy aggressively when the second high exceeds the first high; buy cautiously when the third high exceeds the second high, and if bought, quickly exit after making a slight profit.
When selling, sell when the price is 3% to 5% away from the day's average price; sell when the second high is lower than the first high; clear out when the third low is lower than the second low. When operating warrants, the principle that must be strictly followed is: after entering the market at the right position during intra-day trading, you must strictly enforce stop-loss and stop-profit. Generally, depending on the situation, use a 3% or 5% drop after purchase as a stop-loss, and resolutely leave the market when reaching the price target. Since warrant trading is generally very active, you can place your order earlier when leaving the market at key prices.
Volume is the life and pointer of warrant operations! Also, when there are obviously significant opportunities in the stock market, I hope everyone doesn't give up the opportunity in stocks. Stocks and warrants should be invested according to your own capital ratio.
The price fluctuates up and down on the time-sharing chart. However, if it does not exceed the previous high, you must exit and observe. If the price breaks below the trend on the time-sharing chart, don't panic, just wait for the second wave of decline before entering again, Kunming. Beginners should at least wait for the third wave of decline before entering. The position size should not be all-in or all-out. At least operate in two batches.
T+0 and no stamp duty are advantages of warrants. More favorable transaction commissions can also be negotiated with brokers. Therefore, warrants are increasingly favored by short-term traders.
Warrant operations have techniques, but like stocks, no one makes money when they fall. Therefore, warrants do not offer daily earning opportunities. Most significant opportunities mostly appear when the market changes direction. The start of a substantial rise or fall in the market (not near the end) is the time when call warrants and put warrants offer the greatest opportunities. To trade warrants well, start by analyzing the market. The more accurate your analysis of the market, the higher the success rate of your warrant operations.
The rise and fall of warrants are highly correlated with the rise and fall of the underlying stock, especially call warrants. Currently, call warrants rarely move against the underlying stock. Therefore, to become a good warrant trader, you must be an expert in stock trading. Accurate judgment of stock trends can greatly increase warrant returns.
The lower the price of the warrant, the greater the risk, but also the greater the chance of windfall profits. Of course, the operational difficulty is also greater. Among the current warrants, several long-term high-priced call warrants are more suitable for long-term holding. Their underlying stocks are blue-chip stocks, often showing independent trends following the underlying stock. Short-term techniques are not as prominent as those of low-priced warrants. Here, let's talk about low-priced warrants and put warrants.
When operating warrants, overcome fear psychology. Large fluctuations in warrants are normal, but it is not advisable to blindly take risks. Operations should be based on an accurate judgment of the market. If the market judgment is wrong and losses occur, corrections? Stop-loss should be made promptly. Secondly, overcome extreme greed. In a balanced market, take profits when gains reach 5-10%. If the trend is clear, consider re-entering. In times of small fluctuations, try to reduce operations! It is easy to understand that for a warrant with only a 2-3% fluctuation in a day, it is difficult to make a difference.
You can check the exchange-published trading seats. In most cases, when warrants rise, the number of buys and sells in the top five seats are basically equal! This shows that the main force usually adopts a circular arbitrage operation method, which is fundamentally different from the stock market's market-making operations.
Specifically, the main force lifts the price while selling off, using the funds of followers to quickly raise the price to a high level, then consolidates and sells off, then lifts again... Such cyclic operations generate profits. Therefore, the main force does not need too much capital investment. With 10-20 million yuan of capital, a few billion yuan of trading volume can be generated in a day. In fact, most of the locked positions in warrants are held by retail investors, and the main force generally holds 20%-30%.
Based on this, the following methods are suitable for retail investors (purely short-term):
1. Because warrants generally open higher in an uptrend channel, similar to stock operations, after a limit-up, the next day opens higher for selling, achieving maximum profit! After warrants open higher, they quickly lift to attract followers, then sell off, consolidate for a period, and lift again! Carefully observing the daily trends of warrants in an uptrend channel, aren't they basically like this? In this case, you can buy warrants in the last minute of closing (because you're afraid of a late plunge, so it's best to buy in the last minute), then the next day after opening higher, wait for the main force to lift to a high point, then sell off! Usually, you can make at least 2% profit, allowing full-position operations! Judging the high point of lifting involves looking at volume and the angle of the moving average. If the angle of the moving average exceeds 45 degrees, the lifting time will be short; from the screen, you can look at the number of large sell orders, i.e., the number and size of green orders (internal orders). You can also look at the per-minute trading volume, and when it abnormally expands, it generally peaks! Using this method, you can make at least 2%-5% daily, over a week, more than 10%, setting your stop-loss at cost. If anything happens, sell immediately, losing only the handling fee! If you extremely favor it, you can set the stop-loss at 10% to avoid being washed out during the shakeout and regretting it later.
2. Buy in the last minute before closing and sell intraday or at the close the next day; this requires a certain ability to read the market and experience. Generally, in an uptrend channel, the opening price (the previous day's closing price) is usually the lowest point of the day. Therefore, buying at the previous day's close ensures your cost is the lowest, minimizing the chance of being caught in a trap, ensuring at least a 5% profit! How to grasp the best selling point? This needs to be divided into several situations: If your operation ability is poor, sell before the warrant retraces, or regardless of the intraday movement, directly sell half an hour before the close; this is basically a sure win, but remember to set a stop-loss at -1% to ensure you lose no more than 1.6%! If you don't hit the stop-loss, ignore it! If there's a sudden plunge, hang your order at the stop-loss and sell! This way, you generally gain 5%-10%, sometimes even 30%!
3. Skilled traders can refer to the following methods:
First, if you have prepared funds, you can adopt the first two methods, buying before the close! The next day, if it opens higher and lifts to around 5%, it is recommended to take profits first; then wait for the pullback to within 2% of the opening price to re-enter, setting the stop-loss around -2%; then observe the lifting angle, volume, and screen. If it is generally trending upwards in oscillations, hold it since the spread is too small to make segments! If it lifts sharply, take profits when it consolidates after lifting, and re-enter when it consolidates near the moving average! If it lifts slowly, it proves the main force will make a big move, so hold until it lifts sharply! There is generally a high point in the morning, suggesting taking profits first, then buying back at a relatively low point after consolidation! If it continues to pull back, add to your position, remembering to cut losses if it breaks the moving average! Then sell when it lifts again! Finally, buy during a sharp decline in the afternoon, or in the last minute before the close! Operating this way, the success rate is generally high, even if you make mistakes twice and stop losses twice, there is still considerable profit!
Several basic tendencies in warrant operations:
1. Sharp falls must rebound; therefore, unless it's a major plunge, never sell during sharp falls, wait for the rebound after the sharp fall to sell, avoiding selling at rock bottom!
2. Sharp rises must be followed by sharp adjustments; therefore, when selling, how to sell at the highest point or a relatively high point mainly depends on your mindset, don't be too greedy, seeing a sharp rise followed by volume expansion but unable to rise further, sell immediately! Or sell during a 90-degree lift!
3. Volume expansion must lead to a rise, and volume contraction must lead to a consolidation or fall; during volume expansion, you can chase the rise, but when chasing, note not to chase beyond an 80-degree lift, wait for it to rest and pull back after lifting to buy safely at the lowest price! Exit immediately if volume contraction lasts over 30 minutes!
4. Trading skills: Often hear people say they couldn't buy or couldn't sell! Suggest understanding the principle of the pre-market auction first!
Trading must be decisive! When buying during a rise, always place orders 5-10 ticks higher, this way you'll get ahead in the queue, but your actual execution price will definitely be less than your order price! The reason can be understood by referring to the principle of the pre-market auction! Buying during a fall is easier, hanging 1-2 ticks higher is enough!
Selling during a fall must hang 5-10 ticks lower, especially during a plunge, you can even hang 5%-10% lower! Similarly, the actual execution price will equal the real-time price at the time of your order, not your order price!
Warrants require speed, opportunities are fleeting, hesitation is the most frightening! Achieve the above points, and you can become a warrant trading expert! The above operation suggestions are only suitable for funds under 1 million RMB. For funds over 1 million RMB, split them into 2-3 parts for operation!
The above experiences are for reference only! The stock market is ever-changing, there are no absolute things, operate rationally, hoping to be helpful to everyone! Combining the following intraday technical indicators can help determine buy and sell points appropriately.
Buy points:
1. Intraday K-line reaches the bottom line;
2. Intraday BIAS line probes the bottom line;
3. Intraday MACO line approaches the bottom line, reaching it;
4. Intraday KOJ forms a golden cross, and MACO prepares to break through upward;
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