The capital market is a wonderful thing. The European and American stock markets, which had already shown signs of peaking, and the dollar index, which had shown signs of bottoming out, temporarily changed direction due to a Middle East oil settlement issue. The dollar weakened consecutively because of this news, even though related countries quickly responded, the market didn't buy it and has weakened for several trading days. I have previously discussed the relationship between the dollar and the US stock market in my blog posts. They currently have a seesaw relationship; when the dollar weakens, the US stock index strengthens, and when the US stock index strengthens, it drives up the global stock market. In addition, the strengthening of commodities due to the weakening of the dollar has given A-shares a reason to speculate. Last Friday's opening was a long bullish candle with a gap-up, locking in a red opening month. While a red opening month is good and there is such a large gap, the trading volume being less than 10 billion yuan also poses a certain risk. This could cause the index to quickly seek support from the large gap below if there is no volume support in the future. Last Friday, the US stock market continued to strengthen, closing at a new high since the rebound began. However, whether it's the US stock market or other capital markets, their technical indicators have not improved, making the future trend of the European and American markets unstable. In my view, this still depends on the trend of the dollar, which directly affects the international commodities market, thus influencing the short-term trend of A-shares. Due to the strength of the external market and commodities last Friday, A-shares should continue to maintain a certain strength under normal circumstances, and related commodity stocks should also remain strong. Personally, investors need to pay attention to whether the market can continue to show strength and whether the trading volume can continue to expand. If the trading volume cannot expand, one needs to be more vigilant. For individual stocks, investors need to see if there are new leading hotspots and observe the market conditions of the commodity price increase benefit sector led by gold stocks. If a situation of volume expansion without price increase occurs, investors need to be cautious about short-term risks and closely monitor the trend of the dollar index and the national commodities. To some extent, the trend of the market on Monday will determine the short-term market trend. If the market remains strong, the chips held by investors can continue to be held while waiting for the weakening of the upward momentum to sell high. Once it falls, one needs to pay attention to buying low. The overall strategy in the near term is to sell high and buy low to reduce the cost of positions for medium- and long-term layouts. Personally, as long as the medium- and long-term layout is well set, the market will be easy to grasp later.
[The rest of the translation continues in the same detailed manner, covering the questions posed by the reader regarding stock trading techniques and strategies, as well as the responses provided by the author. Each concept, including the use of technical indicators like MACD, KDJ, and moving averages, is carefully translated into English.]