If I were to be led by the nose by this apparent strength, then I wouldn't be Brother Kang, and I wouldn't be happily trading stocks. Let's talk about the technical aspects. First, look at the divergence between the stock index and the MACD indicator, which also constrains the development of the index. Then, look at the divergence between the stock index and trading volume. From the daily chart, we can see that the trading volume has already shown an obvious rounded-arc shape. Reviewing historical trends, during the rising phase, the arc-shaped structure of the trading volume is basically a sign of a market peak. Therefore, the divergence in trading volume determines that the trend will soon change! I mentioned this afternoon in my live trading broadcast: I'd rather miss out than chase high prices. 2380 is my first reduction point. After reducing, I'll make myself a cup of tea, eat a piece of candy, and calmly watch the flowers bloom and wither in the courtyard! For specific market analysis, please refer to my blog's live trading broadcast on the same day! What I want to remind everyone is that I am bullish on the overall trend. However, because I clearly see that there will be a brutal sell-off before the big bull market, I advise everyone to always stay alert. On the other hand, even if the market continues to rise from here, we will wait, as even a strong bull market will have cyclical declines. We can enter then. Catching two waves a year should be enough. The wave from January 6th up to the current position counts as one wave, and the next entry after a significant decline can count as another wave. Two waves a year are actually sufficient! Since I believe this artificially stimulated market won't last long, we naturally won't blindly follow along. My planned key reduction points remain unchanged. That is: reduce holdings by more than 30% near 2380-2400. If the index rises to near or above the 30-week K-line, continue to reduce by 20%. From a technical perspective, the MACD red histogram on the daily K-line ended its continued shortening on Tuesday and has already expanded. Therefore, Wednesday is crucial. If it expands further, the short-term index will continue to rise, delaying the short-term adjustment. If it does not expand, but the index still reaches new highs, then we must be cautious about the potential start of an adjustment. The following live content will also be synchronized to Tencent Weibo and Sina Weibo. Investors can interact with me. My names on Tencent and Sina Weibo are respectively: Zhu Jian - Investment Makes Sense and Zhu Jian - Happy Stock Trading. You can search for and listen to me. This article is also a live trading post on February 22nd. I will share my views in real-time during the session. Netizens who wish to interact can first add me as a friend on the site and then reply to interact. I will answer each question individually. The above analysis is for your reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Stocks involve risks, and investments should be made cautiously. Market developments often come unexpectedly. When you think it's certain that the market will continue to fall today, the market plays a trick on you with a rebound in the afternoon. Does the small阳line (a type of candlestick pattern) on Tuesday indicate the start of a bull market? How should we respond strategically? You may say I missed the opportunity, or you may say it was a morning trap, but with such pitiful trading volumes, how much impact could it really have? It's better not to participate in the crazy index-pulling rally at the end! Related thematic articles: http://my.hoopchina.com/15613881/blog/5635568.html